Saturday, November 13, 2010
Causal Reasoning
I thought that causal reasoning would be new because of the content of the site given, but after all it is really simple. It is almost like inductive reasoning. Because of a certain event, it is reasonable to believe so. In comparison with inductive reasoning, it is usually used for scientific researches to eliminate any implausible hypothesis. Inductive reasoning is used more for personal observations. For example we can use global warming as an example for causal reasoning. "With the rate that we drive our cars in America it reduces the ozone layer, thus with this rate, global warming will go into effect faster." Through research we were able to find that the emissions from cars ate away at the ozone layer. So with this information we are able to use this as the cause that global warming will happen faster. Another thing about causal reasoning is that it is not always plausible, for example with the new technology cars are becoming less harmful to the environment.
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Good job with explaining what causal reasoning was. I agree that it is very similar to inductive reasoning. I never thought of the two as being similar and that causal reasoning is more for scientific. It totally makes sense to me. When you said, “because of a certain event, it is reasonable to believe so,” it made the definition more clear to me. Your example about global warming was also good. The event you gave leads to the outcome. The reduction of the ozone layer because of car emissions can lead to a global warming increase. Also, I agree that causal reasoning may not always be plausible and your example of that supports this.
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